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Jevons Paradox fuels European AI stock rebound

Feb, 05, 2025 Hi-network.com

The emergence of China's DeepSeek, a low-cost AI model that requires less advanced chips, initially sparked a global selloff in tech stocks. Investors raised concerns about the future of Western investments in chipmakers and data centres. Nvidia, a leader in the sector, saw its market value plummet by nearly$600 billion, marking the largest one-day loss in company history. However, since then, tech stocks, particularly in Europe, have rebounded, with some investors turning to a 160-year-old economic theory to explain the market's recovery: the Jevons Paradox.

The Jevons Paradox, proposed by economist William Stanley Jevons, suggests that as a resource becomes more efficient, its demand can actually increase. In the context of AI, the paradox argues that as AI technology becomes cheaper and more accessible, its use will likely expand. This idea is gaining traction among European investors, with some believing that lower AI costs could drive a new wave of investment in software and AI technologies, particularly in areas like data and inference.

Despite some scepticism, several fund managers have embraced the paradox as a reason for optimism in AI markets. The potential need for data centres and infrastructure to support AI growth remains a key focus, though the rise of more efficient software like DeepSeek has led some to question whether the sector will require as many resources as previously expected. While the long-term outlook remains uncertain, many see the reduction in AI costs as a catalyst for further investment and growth, especially in European companies that rely on AI technologies.

Not everyone is convinced, however, with some analysts pointing to Nvidia's rapid stock rise as a sign that market dynamics may be more complex than the Jevons Paradox suggests. Nonetheless, for many, the falling costs of AI technology have reinforced the belief that demand for AI-related investments will continue to thrive.

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